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Wilson Mar
This is the top of lesson text>
A Short Course on Business Measurements
by Wilson Mar,
CSQE, CQE, CQM (wilsonmar@gmail.com, 310.320-7878)
Statistics vs. SPC (Statistical Process Control)
Statistical Process Control is the science of
analyzing and variables over a period of
time by identifying variables and taking action to
improve them.
Demographics
The science of using statistics using classifications.
Statisticians use surveys to measure the
characteristics,
attitudes, and opinions of a
population.
Characteristics
Consumer demographic characteristics describe what individual people
are . These characteristics include:
- Ethnicity (White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, etc.)
- Age (Children, Teen, Adult, Elderly, etc.)
- Gender (Male or Female)
- Geographic Location (Country, State, County, City, Zip Code, etc.)
- Employment Status (Fully employed, Unemployed, etc.)
- Level of Education
- Job Title
- Years of Work Experience
- Income
- Savings
- Family Size
- Ownership (of cars, TV's, VCR's, stereos, computers, etc.)
- etc.
These characteristics are often combined for analysis.
For example, TV advertisers prefer to use demographic
groups such as
"Adults aged 18 to 49, women aged 18 to 49,
and men and women aged 25 to 54."
Psychographic characteristics
describe how people think and behave.
Organizational demographic characteristics include:
- Dollars of assets used by the department
- Square feet of floor space used by the department
- Number of full time equivalent workers (FTE's)
- Department headcount (average number of people in the department)
- Geographic Location (Country, State, County, City, Zip Code, etc.)
- Level in the organization from the CEO
- Worker turnover rate
Factors
A varible
which could affect the outcome.
Table
A list of horizontal lines ( rows ) with
vertical piles of columns .
Population
Sub-set
Any group of
respondents
defined in terms of their responses to questions about their
characteristics
or opinions in the survey
instrument.
The responses to a survey may be summarized and reported as a whole ,
but it is usually helpful to separate the results
from a portion of the whole.
For example, a sub-set may include only people from specific areas,
job types, length of service, or other method of classification.
A sub-set can also be defined in terms of responses to items
in the survey. For example, if there was a question about the frequency
of meetings with a five point scale for responses from “never"
through to “very frequent",
we could create a subset comprising people who said they had meetings
never or only occasionally.
Pie Chart
Sample Sizes
The number of people selected for
participation in a survey.
The lower case letter "n" is typically
used as a shorthand for this statistic.
So "n=15" means a sample size of 15.
Respondents
Surveys vs. Instruments
A survey is the process of measuring
the characteristics, attitudes, and opinions of
respondents from a desired
population.
A count of surveys refers to the number of different
survey projects for getting answers.
An instrument is the physical questionnaire form
used to record data from respondents
participating in a survey.
A count of instruments refers to the number of different
designs for getting answers.
God's TQM Questionaire
Items
Each separate response on a survey
instrument.
It is called an item because it might not actually
be a question .
An example of a survey item is when respondents are
asked to respond to a statement such as "I like my job"
by choosing one from a series of
options
by marking the box corresponding to the statement
which the respondent agrees with most.
Responses
The count (number) of
items
multiplied by the number of
respondents
who completed and returned the survey.
For example, if 50
respondents
answered all 10 items on their survey instrument,
there would be 500 responses.
Some responses may need to be
ignored (thrown out) if they are found invalid .
Topics
A group of similar items
put together for summary reporting purposes.
Used to calculate topic averages.
Options vs. Scales
An option is one of a list of responses
which could be selected by a respondent
when answering a survey item.
A scale is the full range of the options.
Examples of options of a scale include:
- A binary of 0 or 1 is "Yes" or "No"
- How strongly the respondent agrees or disagrees with
a statement (on a “Likert" scale of 1 to 5):
- Strongly disagree
- Generally Disagree
- Neither agree or disagree
- Generally Agree
- Strongly Agree
- A 7 point frequency scale:
- Never
- Almost Never
- Occasionally
- Frequently
- Very Frequently
- Almost Always
- Always
- A 7 point preference scale:
- Like Not At All
- Not Like Very Much
- Not Like A Little
- Neither Like Nor Dislike
- Like A Little
- Like Very Much
- Like a Lot
Note that it is good practice for items to be
consistent with each other by having them all
increase in value as there is more
agreement, frequency, etc.
Percentiles
Percentiles provide a way of comparing results from items
using different scales.
An answer of 3 can mean different things depending on which
scale was used for that answer.
For example, one item uses a 1-5 scale and
another item uses a 1-7 scale. Both questions had the answer 3.
On the first scale, this is exactly the midpoint,
but on the second scale it is closer to the lowest
possible score (1) than to the highest (7).
By working out how far along its possible scale each actual result lies,
and expressing it as a percentage
of the way along, we convert all results to percentages, and
make them results comparable one with the other.
With a scale from 1 to 5, a score of 3 is at the 50th percentile.
On a scale from 1 to 7, a score of 3 would be a percentile of 33.33.
If the scale runs from 1 to 5, a score of 2.3 gives a percentile of 32.5.
On a scale from 1 to 7 a score of 2.3 gives a percentile of 21.67;
and a score of 4 is the 50th percentile.
If the scale is from 0 to 1 a score of 0.45 is the 45th percentile.
On a scale of 1 to 5, a score of 1 gives a percentile of 0.
Validity
The level which the results of a survey is valid
and can be relied upon for decision making.
A common reason for invalidating a survey is when
there is not enough samples to be representative of
the population. This happens if the
response rate
to a survey is too low.
Response rate
Biases
What may make statistics from a survey unreliable
as a bais for making valid conclusions .
Survey Fatigue
A example of what may bias a survey.
The phenomenon where people get fed up with filling in
survey questionnaires. This could happen when surveys are repeated
too often, or when they appear to be irrelevant .
Surveys which ask informants what they want changed,
but after which no change occurs, will likely result in a lower
response rate the next time the survey
is given.
Sum or Total
The result of adding
several numbers together.
For example, the total of 10, 20, and 30 is
60 .
Percentage
Ratios
The measure of a relationship between two numbers --
a numerator divided by a denominator.
Another example is the Cash Ratio for a
company -- one of several widely used
financial measures
of an organization's economic health.
This ratio is calculated by dividing the organization's
Current Assets by its
Current Liabilities.
A Current Ratio value of 2.0 means that the
company has double the amount of
Assets than it has in Liabilities.
(Generally good)
A Current Ratio value of 1.0 means that the
company has the same amount of Assets as Liabilities.
A Current Ratio value of 0.5 means that the
company has half the Assets to cover its Liabilities.
(Generally not good)
Financial Measures
These are typically collections of dollars
rather than units of product or
amount of processing time .
Index
This technique is used because it allows
different types of measures (such as dollars and counts)
to be compared on a common basis.
For example, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics defines
Productivity as the
ratio
of Output to the the number of
hours used to create that output.
The measure against values at a fixed point in the past (such as
July 1st, 1969).
Well known indexes include the CPI (Consumer Price Index) which measures
how much it costs to buy a hypothetical "basket" of goods at
various points in time.
The current value of the CPI reflects prices relative to prices on
July 1st, 1969.
An index value of 200 means that prices have
doubled since the initial period.
Changes between two periods is the difference between
the index values.
Averages or Arithmetic mean
A measure of the central tendency
in a group of numbers.
For example, the average of 10, 20, and 30 is 20 .
This is calculated by adding all three numbers together
(10 + 20 + 30 = 60) and dividing this sum by
the number of items added together (in this example, three).
Topic averages
The average of the results of items within a
topic.
Bar Charts (also called Bar Graphs)
There are several types of Bar Charts:
- Vertical
Bar Charts
use bars which extend up vertically
to illustrate the value of each bar.
The higher a bar is, the larger
the value of that bar.
- Horizontal
Bar Charts
use bars which extend from left to right
horizontally to illustrate the value of each bar.
These charts are typically used to compare
the values from different segments relative
to each other.
- Segmented Bar Charts
use bars to illustrate the value of segments within each bar.
Each portion of a bar represents a different
sub-set of the total.
This format is typically used to compare the range
of results from an opinion survey.
each bar in a Segmented Bar Chart represents one
item
or
topic
from the survey.
The total length of each bar represents 100
percent
of all
responses
to that survey item.
- Stacked
Bar Charts
illustrate the value of both the total of each bar
and the value of segments within
each bar.
Each segment of a bar represents a different portion or
sub-set of the total.
- Comparative
Bar Charts
show several bar charts together so that different
populations
could be compared against each other.
For example, Comparative Bar Charts are used to
compare values of a population against a
benchmark population.
Comparative Bar Charts are also used to
compare values of different
sub-sets of a
population.
Benchmark
A measured value used as a basis for comparison.
A benchmark could be external or internal.
External benchmarks are used to compare data from
different (competing) organizations.
Internal benchmarks are used to compare data created
within the same organization.
Histograms
A bar chart which illustrates the variability in a set of
measurements as (in the form of) a frequency distribution.
summary of variation in a set of data.
The pictorial nature of the HISTOGRAM lets people
see patterns that are difficult to imagine
in a simple table of numbers. The shape of the historgram can
sometimes provide infomation of the process.
The HISTOGRAM is considered one of the "Seven Tools of Quality".
Variation
Variation is a measure of the amount of
differences (or "diversity") within a
population
or a
sub-set
of a population.
There are several sources of variability:
- Man
- Machine (Equipment)
- Materials (Parts)
- Methods (the sequence of steps)
- Mother Nature (temperature, humidity, wind, etc.)
Standard deviations
A statistical measure of the extent of variation
in a set of data.
The standard deviation tells you the extent of the spread
of the individual items around the average.
Pareto Charts
Radar Charts
Statistical Significance
A calculation of whether differences in the results from two groups
could be the result of real differences or of pure chance and
random sampling error.
This is calculated by comparing the amount of difference between
the two groups against the sampling error we could reasonably expect.
Weighting
Raw Scores
Atrributes
Values
Trend Charts
Uses a line to show the effect of
time
on a measured variable.
A widely used example of this is the Trend Chart of growth in the
US Civilian Labor Force.
Trend Charts provide the basic format for
Control Charts.
Seasonality
A type of chart which illustrates the effect of regular
cycles of time. This could be quarters of a
year or over the 12 months of a year.
Area Charts
Uses solid areas of color to show the
effect of time on a measured variable.
Baseline
An initial value used as the base for future
comparison. Used in
Trend Charts.
Control Charts
Control Limits
Chi Square
Measures the extent of variation of rows and
columns of a table against the total amount of variation.
Process Capability
The extent of variation in a process.
This is measured by the "Cp" and "CpK" indexes .
"Cp" is "one tailed"
and
"CpK" is "two tailed".
Design of Experiments
A method to identify causes of variation by
a consistent number of factors.
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
A method to classify causes of problems
Calibration
The process of making sure that tools used to
perform measurements are accurate by comparing them
against a standard which is known to be comparable to
national standards.
R&R (Repeatability and Reproducibility)
A method to simultaneously define two major sources
of variation.
- Repeatability - How consistently
tools can repeat the same readings.
- Reproducibility - How consistently
operators can reproduce the same reading.
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